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Australian dealer body calls for pause on new car brands as profits turn negative

The AADA's ten recommendations follow a quarter in which average new-car dealer net profit fell to -0.2 per cent, the first negative result since 2008.

The Australian Automotive Dealer Association (AADA) wants the federal government to pause the entry of any new car brands into Australia, one of ten recommendations it has made as it warns the new-car retail industry has reached a "crisis point". The call follows a third-quarter 2026 result showing the industry's first negative quarterly profitability figure since the fourth quarter of 2008, during the Global Financial Crisis.

Sixty-six brands and counting

By CarExpert's count, 66 brands currently sell new passenger cars, SUVs and light commercial vehicles in Australia, up from 50 in 2021. Of the brands that have arrived since then, only four (Cadillac, Cupra, GMC and Ineos) are not Chinese.

Australia is seen by Chinese automakers as an increasingly important market even though it is far from one of the world's largest, because demonstrating success here amid heavy competition can burnish a brand's reputation.

The pause is a blunt instrument, and the numbers explain why the dealer body has reached for it: the growth in brand count is concentrated in Chinese entrants, and each new brand adds another set of dealer negotiations, stock commitments and discount pressure to a retail network already running at a loss.

New Chinese EV entrants like Avatr are exactly the wave of brands dealers want paused
New Chinese EV entrants like Avatr are exactly the wave of brands dealers want paused, Image: CarExpert

Nine other recommendations not yet detailed

The pause on new brands is one of ten recommendations the AADA has made. The available reporting names only the brand-entry pause; the remaining nine have not been detailed in the source material, so what else the association is asking of government and manufacturers has not been announced in the coverage available.

The federal government's response to the recommendations has likewise not been announced in the reporting available. The AADA has framed its case in a press release and commissioned analysis from Blue Flag, but no government position on the proposed pause has been stated.

Another freshly launched badge joining an already crowded market
Another freshly launched badge joining an already crowded market, Image: CarExpert
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Australia / TDCN ORIGINAL

Toyota HiLux outsells Ford Ranger in October as 2026 sales gap narrows to 129

The HiLux beat the Ranger by 1113 sales last month, cutting the year-to-date margin to its tightest point of 2026 with two months left.

Toyota's HiLux outsold the Ford Ranger in October 2026, recording 5954 sales against the Ranger's 4841 across two-wheel drive and four-wheel drive versions. The result cuts the year-to-date gap to 129 sales, with 42,570 HiLuxes sold against 42,699 Rangers to the end of October, the closest margin between the two utes so far this year.

A lead that has been shrinking since June

The Ranger's advantage has been steadily eroded. It led by 1242 sales at the end of September and held its largest lead of the year at the end of June, when it was 3707 sales ahead. Both nameplates are still selling in smaller numbers than a year ago, with the Ranger down 8.1 per cent year-to-date and the HiLux down 5.9 per cent.

The pair remain the two best-selling models outright in Australia so far this year, ahead of the Tesla Model Y electric SUV on 39,035 sales. The next-best ute, the Isuzu D-Max, sits well back on 19,836 sales to the end of October. That gap matters: the HiLux and Ranger contest is a two-horse race at the top of the market, and the D-Max is not close enough to be drawn into it.

The Toyota HiLux edges ahead in October, but its lead over the Ford Ranger has been shrinking since June.
The Toyota HiLux edges ahead in October, but its lead over the Ford Ranger has been shrinking since June., Image: CarExpert

Both brands are discounting to win the run home

Toyota is offering a $4000 finance deposit bonus on eligible diesel-powered HiLux SR5 dual-cab pickup and cab/chassis models purchased through Toyota Finance. Ford is countering with a $5000 fuel card, which buyers can take as a discount on the purchase price instead, on MY26.5 Ranger XLT models, the grade that lines up against the HiLux SR5. Selected MY27 Ranger models carry a $4000 fuel card offer.

The incentives suggest both brands see the remaining two months as winnable. Ford's MY27 update, announced in August, expanded availability of the 2.0-litre single-turbo engine and reworked the model lineup, including the return of the Wildtrak X grade. Toyota launched the new-generation HiLux in December 2025.

Ford is leaning on discounts to close the 129-unit gap in the run home.
Ford is leaning on discounts to close the 129-unit gap in the run home., Image: CarExpert

New metal has not settled the contest

The new-generation HiLux gained a battery-electric powertrain, making it the first electric ute in Australia to earn a five-star ANCAP safety rating. Toyota says improved supply will continue through to the end of this year.

There is recent precedent for a late swing. The HiLux was 379 sales ahead at the end of November 2023 before the Ranger finished that year 2245 sales in front, ending Toyota's seven-year run as Australia's best-selling vehicle. With two months of 2026 left and 129 sales separating them, the margin is tight enough that a single strong month could flip the order. Neither Toyota nor Ford has publicly declared a target for the full-year title, so which one finishes 2026 on top has not been announced.

New metal like the LDV T60 has not settled the HiLux-versus-Ranger contest.
New metal like the LDV T60 has not settled the HiLux-versus-Ranger contest., Image: CarExpert

The wider market picture

Ford sits third among all makes, having been overtaken by BYD for second place earlier this year, while Toyota remains the top-selling brand to the end of October. For buyers, the practical effect of the title fight is on the forecourt: the finance bonus and fuel card offers are live now, and the outcome of the sales race is likely to be decided by which brand keeps discounting hardest through December.

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